Y Mientras Tanto….

noviembre 1, 2011 § Deja un comentario

Como hemos venido comentando la desaceleración a nivel mundial parece inminente. EUA esta al borde entre la recesión y una lenta recuperación. Si los problemas de Europa continúan (que a juzgar por su organización política así será) y/o la economía mundial continua desacelerándose, es muy probable que estos factores terminen de dar el último empujón a los Estados Unidos a entrar en una nueva recesión.

Via Bloomberg:

U.S. Manufacturing Expanded Less Than Forecast in October

Nov. 1 (Bloomberg) — Manufacturing in the U.S. expanded less than forecast in October as inventories shrank by the most in a year and production cooled.

The Institute for Supply Management’s factory index dropped to 50.8 last month from 51.6 in September, the Tempe, Arizona- based group’s data showed today. A reading of 52 was the median forecast in a Bloomberg News survey of economists. Fifty is the dividing line between growth and contraction.

http://www.businessweek.com/news/2011-11-01/u-s-manufacturing-expanded-less-than-forecast-in-october.html

Y del otro lado y en el Reino Unido. Via Markit:

UK manufacturing new orders show largest decline since March 2009

The Markit/CIPS Manufacturing PMI registered 47.4 in October, down from 50.8 in September. The survey has signalled contraction in three of the last four months, with the latest decline the largest since June 2009. All five components of the PMI deteriorated compared with September, as manufacturers cut output, employment and inventories in the face of a marked downturn in demand for manufactured goods.

http://www.markit.com/assets/en/docs/commentary/markit-economics/2011/nov/UK_manufacturing_11_11_01.pdf

Y para cerrar con broche de oro… Via Bloomberg:

China Manufacturing Index Falls, Bolstering Case for Wen to Loosen Policy

A Chinese manufacturing index dropped to the lowest level since February 2009, bolstering the case for fiscal or monetary loosening to support the expansion of the world’s second-biggest economy.

The Purchasing Managers’ Index fell to 50.4 in October from 51.2 in September, the China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing said in a statement today. That was lower than any of 16 economist estimates in a Bloomberg News survey that had a median forecast of 51.8. A reading above 50 indicates expansion.

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-11-01/china-pmi-drops-for-first-time-in-3-months.html

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